Thanksgiving Week Picks

Sadly, the 2015 college football season is quickly coming to a close. It’s always such a long off season and it seems to get worse every year. But, this year there will be a lot of activities on the coaching front with so many open jobs.

These are my picks for a lot of the last regular season games for 2015. We still have the Bowl games and the national championship games.

Turkey Day November 26th:

Texas Tech 6-5 at Texas 4-6: At this point, I am not seeing Texas winning any more games. They’ve given away several games this year including last week against West Virginia. Texas Tech has an outstanding offense but their defense is not so very good. Texas if favored by 1.5 points, but that seems unreasonable after seeing their last 2 games. However, one thing about the 2015 Texas Longhorns, you can never tell which team will show up. Will it be the one that played so well against Oklahoma, or the one that played so poorly against Iowa State? I would say take Texas and the points, but I don’t feel comfortable with that.

Friday November 27th:

Miami 7-4 at Pittsburgh 8-3: This has been a very forgettable season for the once proud Miami Hurricanes, but their record isn’t that bad. Pittsburgh is favored  by 6 points and they are playing well right now. I think Pitt wins and covers the spread. Hiring Pat Narduzzi to replace last year’s head coach Paul Chryst was a smart move and I think he will restore the Pitt Panthers to the days of their glory years.

Navy 9-1 at Houston 10-1: The Naval Academy is favored by 1 point and they are a tough team to play with only a week of preparations. Houston lost it’s first game of the year last week and this game is now for the championship of the American Athletic Conference West Division. Navy is in first place at 7-0 and Houston is in 2nd at 6-1. With everything on the line, I am picking Navy.

Missouri 5-6 at Arkansas 6-5: The Tigers of Missouri have had the worst season and the Razorbacks of Arkansas are favored by 13.5 points. Expect the Sooey Pigs to win and to cover the spread. The only problem might be that this is the last game for Gary Pinkel at Missouri and the Tigers might just play their hearts out.

Oregon State 2-9 at Oregon 8-3: Oregon is favored by 34.5 points and Oregon State is horrible. But, this is a rivalry game and those games can be hard to figure. Texas did beat Oklahoma and nobody can explain that. The Ducks are playing really well and they should still win very easily but covering 35 points is a tall task. The Beavers are so bad that I do think the Ducks break records beating them and they do cover.

Washington State 8-3 at Washington 5-6: No odds at this time which is odd. The Cougars would love nothing better than to beat their main rival and they are playing really well right now. I have always had reservations about Boise State coaches and have said so on this blog several times. They also have several true freshmen in the lineup. Chris Petersen may be all right eventually at Washington when some of the kids in his lineup mature. Washington State will more than likely win fairly easily.

Iowa 11-0 at Nebraska 5-6: Iowa is favored by 1.5 points which seems strange when looking at their record. But, the game is in Lincoln and the Huskers would qualify for a bowl game if they win. On the other hand, Iowa is fighting for a Playoff bid and they could get one if they win out. Winning over a motivated Husker team and beating the Big 10 East champion will be a tall order.

The Huskers are the only team to beat Michigan State and I am predicting an upset here.

Baylor 9-1 at TCU 9-2: TCU without Trevone Boykin played much better than anyone expected against OU. Baylor is favored by 1.5 points in Fort Worth and if Boykin is ready to go I expect the Frogs to upset Baylor at home.

Saturday November 28th:

Indiana 5-6 at Purdue 2-9: This is a big rivalry game and for bragging rights. The Hoosiers of Indiana are favored by 6.5 points and this game is really important to them because that would mean a bowl game. There’s been talk of Indiana head coach Kevin Wilson being in trouble, and the same is true of Purdue coach Darrell Hazell. Wilson could save his job by winning this game, but Hazell is probably gone as the Boilermakers join the ranks of the uncoached. I am picking the Hoosiers to win here convincingly because they have the better offense and have the heart.

Ohio State 10-1 at Michigan 9-2: Can you believe what a difference a year and a Jim Harbaugh make? Michigan is favored by 1.5 points over the defending national champions and their biggest rival. The wolverines are night and day better than last year and the Buckeyes have not played up to standard all season. If Michigan beats Ohio State, Michigan State wins the Big 10 East which is quite the accomplishment and they still have a shot at a playoff spot. Michigan is much better, but I expect the Buckeyes to win this game this year.

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Virginia Tech 5-6 at Virginia 4-7:  Virginia Tech needs this win to be bowl eligible and it’s the last game for Hokie legend Frank Beamer. Virginia coach Mike London is more than likely toast after this game. Virginia Tech is favored by 3.5 points and I believe they win it and cover.

Georgia 8-3 at Georgia Tech 3-8: Very disappointing season in Georgia for both schools, but especially the Yellow Jackets. Both were highly rated when the season began, and both have flopped. Bulldogs are favored by 5 points and should cover. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets usually give the Georgia Bulldogs a tough battle, but not likely this season.

Louisville 6-5 at Kentucky 5-6: Many thought this was the year the Kentucky Wildcats would turn the corner, but it never happened. This is the week of the ACC vs SEC match ups and the ACC swept all of the games last year. This year, the ACC should win 3 out of 4. Louisville is favored by 4 points and even though they have had their own struggles, they should cover.

North Carolina 10-1 at North Carolina State 7-4: The Tar Heels should not take this game lightly. The Wolfpack are a dangerous opponent. North Carolina is favored by 6.5 points and they probably will have their hands full on the road. You just can’t tell in a rivalry game. North Carolina needs this win to hold onto any slim hopes of a Playoff spot. If they can beat their rivals, the Wolfpack, and they upset the Clemson Tigers in the ACC championship game they just might get a berth in the playoffs. The Tar Heels are one of the more improved teams in the country. I am calling for a North Carolina win by 7 points.

Alabama 10-1 at Auburn 6-5: Alabama is peaking at the right time this year. Everybody had written them off early and they are back and looking stronger than ever. Auburn, on the other hand, wsa ranked in the top 10 to start the season and they have sputtered all season. Bama is favored by 13.5 points and I believe they more than cover. The Tigers have only played well in a couple of games. Last week, they beat Idaho and it’s tough to say they improved after that game.

Penn State 7-4 at Michigan State 10-1: There are no odds available for this game, for some reason. The Spartans have been flirting with disaster all season and the unthinkable happened to them at Nebraska. But, they recovered to beat the Buckeyes. If Michigan can beat Ohio State, Michigan State wins the Big 10 East. This is a huge game for the Spartans. It’s also a big game for James Franklin and Penn State because they clearly want another win.

Wisconsin 8-3 at Minnesota 5-6: This game is about pride and Paul Bunyan’s Axe. The Badgers would love to win this game, but the Badgers need it for that elusive 6th victory and a bowl bid. Wisconsin is favored by 2.5 points, but the Gophers are tough at home which they proved against Michigan. Wisconsin should win, but it will be close.

UCLA 8-3 at USC 7-4: USC is favored by 3.5 points and I cannot fathom that. The Trojans were highly ranked when the season kicked off and embarrassed themselves frequently. The Trojans are loaded with talent, but injuries have hurt them as well as a bad coaching situation. The Bruins have also owned the Trojans in recent years. The Bruins have been a disappointment as well, but at least they have the excuse of having a true freshman Quarterback. The Bruins will more than likely end a miserable season for the Trojans.

Northwestern 9-2 at Illinois 5-6: Illinois needs this win for a Bowl game, but Northwestern is a tough out. Northwestern is favored by 3.5 and they should cover.

Ole Miss 8-3 at Mississippi State 8-3: At this point, the Egg Bowl is about nothing more than state pride and maybe a better Bowl. Ole Miss is favored by 1 point and anything could happen here. Playing at their best, the Old Miss Rebels should win this game. But, home field and cow bells favor the Bulldogs of Mississippi State. This is the last home game for Bulldog Quarterback Dak Prescott and they should be up for this like no other game. But, I do think Ole Miss does cover that 1 point.

Notre Dame 10-1 at Stanford 9-2: If Notre Dame can beat Stanford out at their place, they probably are in the playoffs. But, that is a big if as Stanford is favored by 3.5 points. Can Christian McCaffrey continue his successful season against a defense like the Fighting Irish possess? Both of these schools have tremendous Offensive Lines and this could be a tremendous battle. But, I don’t see the Cardinal covering the point spread and I actually believe the Irish are going to take this game.

Florida State 9-2 at Florida 10-1: Florida State is favored by 2 points over old time rival Florida. The Seminoles lost a tough game against Clemson and they were upset by Georgia Tech in a heart breaker. They will have their hands full with a tough Gator defense. Last week, the Gators had maybe their worse game of the year in a struggle against 2-9 Florida Atlantic. I really believe if Gator Quarterback Will Grier had been available all year that the Gators would be a much better team. One thing is certain, these two teams do not like each other. Anything can happen and I do expect the Seminoles to win.

Texas A%M 8-3 at LSU 7-3: The LSU Tigers have just collapsed and there is talk of LSU firing Les Miles. The bright side, for Les Miles, is that there are plenty of head jobs available right now if the Tigers are foolish enough to fire a coach like Miles. Firing a coach like Miles backfired for Tennessee and Nebraska and we can just see if the LSU Tigers can do any better. They are favored by 5 over the up and down Aggies. The Aggies had impressive wins over Mississippi State and Arkansas, but folded in every other game against a good opponent. They even lost to a pretty bad Auburn team and it wasn’t that close. I do think the Tigers will bounce back and take this game and they should cover. But, I would not be surprised if they continue their downhill slide.

Oklahoma 10-1 at Oklahoma State 10-1: The Bedlam game is a wild one pretty regularly. Oklahoma is favored by 7 points and they are the better team if Baker Mayfield can play. If Mayfield can go, OU will cover and win the Big 12 and could be in the market for a Playoff spot. That’s going to depend on a lot of factors out of the Sooners control.

 

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